Experts wonder if Donbass militia will cause mayhem themselves or under siloviki
“They are well armed and trained; they are used to killing and are not afraid of it,” experts agree that the militias returning from the war for the People’s Republic of Donetsk will redistribute the criminal world of Russia.
A number of experts are waiting for a revolution in the Russian criminal world. First of all, the war in the Donbass became a prerequisite for this. If the Kremlin weakens its influence in the region, then thousands of yesterday’s militias will be marginalized. Armed and well-trained militants, who now have Russian passports, will flock to Russia. So a new criminal force may be born there.
Ivan Mironov, a lawyer, writer, and author of the book Walled-up (‘Zamurovannye’), is sure that such an external threat primarily hangs over the central regions of Russia.
“There is a possibility that in the light of the dynamically changing political situation, Russia may actually leave Donbass. This means that the Ukrainian authorities will immediately subject the current militia to ‘cleansing.’ Especially since many of them were looting and robbing the local population all these years. People did not forget this,” Mironov expressed his view on the situation.
He recalled that the militia were “well armed and trained; they are used to killing and are not afraid of it.”
According to the writer, there are many scumbags, for whom the only way to live is to engage in crime.
Mironov predicts that the militia will form gangs, which, if they are successful, can become very influential and rise to the tops of the criminal world.
Former Minister of Defense of the People’s Republic of Donetsk Igor Strelkov told reporters that part of the people who fought in the Donbass “will surely end up in crime.”
“It’s not a small part, because in case of betrayal of the Donbass, lots of people will become very angry. Given that they will have virtually no sources of livelihood, many will indeed join the criminal world,” Strelkov shared a similar opinion.
He also explained why this was not the case after the war in Afghanistan. According to him, for the most part, well-trained commandos fought there; in contrast, there are almost no special forces soldiers in the Donbass. There are ordinary foot soldiers, Strelkov said.
In addition, security expert Aleksandr Kolesnikov believes that in the near future, the Russian Federation will face a redistribution of the criminal world. He calls the new criminal trend the “Donbass threat.” The expert is sure that one should not make a mistake and underestimate it. He also explained that it must be understood that all business areas today are divided between crime lords, which means that a new criminal force will inevitably initiate redistribution.
In fact, the expert predicts a repeat of the situation of the 90s.
Kolesnikov is sure that fighters from the DPR and LPR will try to forcefully occupy many of the most attractive niches, such as markets, retail outlets, car business, and pimps. He also said that the militias were more dangerous than thieves. “Yesterday’s militias have no concepts, unlike thieves - they’re not blatnye,” the expert commented.
In addition to experts who agree with each other, one of the representatives of Russian organized crime groups adheres to the same point of view. He anonymously told reporters that the militia from the Donbass “are ready to nibble off their share of the criminal market.” “And what can we expect from them? They definitely won’t go to work in a factory. Over the past five years, they have become accustomed to something completely different. They won’t join the existing OCGs either; they are alien, they will not be accepted,” the criminal underworld representative explained.
He gave an alternative version of the development of events. According to him, theoretically, these fighters can join the National Guard. “But it’s unlikely. If the incident in the Donbass is recognized as a war crime, then our authorities clearly wouldn’t want war criminals to join the public service,” a member of the organized crime group said.
Lawyer Ivan Mironov offered another version of this story's development. He suggests that Russian security officials will try to carry out an experiment with the help of fighters from the Donbass. The authorities may conclude an agreement with the militias in order to weaken the influence of existing thieves in law with their help.
He recalled that in the late 80s and early 90s, law enforcement officers tried to pull something like this off by betting on the so-called “athletes.”
This provoked a war between “athletes without concepts” and thieves.